Expectation, choice, and strategy
Intention and Decision
Connect expectation, intention, and commitment with strategic choices and interdependent action.
From expectation to commitment3 essays
Distinguish hopes, forecasts, intentions, and choices.
Expectation: Belief, Hope, Norms, and Action
Expectation can be a forecast, a hope, a social standard, or a belief about what action can achieve. This essay separates those meanings and connects them to intention, decision, and feedback.
12 min readIntention: How a Commitment Organizes Action
Why intending is more than wanting, how intentions guide plans and action, and what they can—and cannot—tell us about responsibility.
11 min readDecision-Making: Judgment, Choice, and Commitment
Decision-making is not a moment of selection or a guarantee of good outcomes. It turns uncertain possibilities, evidence, and values into a revisable commitment to act.
12 min read
Strategy and interdependence4 essays
Examine decisions, strategic trade-offs, tactical execution, and games.
Decision-Making: Judgment, Choice, and Commitment
Decision-making is not a moment of selection or a guarantee of good outcomes. It turns uncertain possibilities, evidence, and values into a revisable commitment to act.
12 min readStrategy: Purpose, Commitment, and Action Under Uncertainty
An examination of strategy as intention, commitment, and realized action, with distinctions from policy, plans, tactics, and objectives, and tests of evidence and legitimacy.
12 min readStrategy and Tactics: Goals, Choices, and Execution
A systematic distinction between strategy, tactics, goals, plans, operations, and execution, with a practical test for locating the boundary.
13 min readGames and Game Theory: Strategy, Equilibrium, and Institutions
A game is a model of interdependent choice. This guide explains strategies, best responses, Nash equilibrium, cooperation, and the limits of formal rationality.
13 min read
Reasons and responsibility2 essays
Separate what an agent intends from explanation and normative justification.
Intention: How a Commitment Organizes Action
Why intending is more than wanting, how intentions guide plans and action, and what they can—and cannot—tell us about responsibility.
11 min readRules and Principles: Reasons, Constraints, and Responsible Action
Rules state actionable requirements; principles supply reasons for creating, interpreting, and revising them. This essay separates norms, policies, standards, procedures, controls, and AI constraints.
13 min read
All essays
- Expectation: Belief, Hope, Norms, and Action
- Intention: How a Commitment Organizes Action
- Decision-Making: Judgment, Choice, and Commitment
- Strategy: Purpose, Commitment, and Action Under Uncertainty
- Strategy and Tactics: Goals, Choices, and Execution
- Games and Game Theory: Strategy, Equilibrium, and Institutions
- Rules and Principles: Reasons, Constraints, and Responsible Action